Alamut Capital Investelligence
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Investment Intelligence Platform

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As Of Month
ⓘ All charts and screeners below reflect data as of the selected month.

Rotation Overview - US

See which sectors, factors, asset classes, and core ETFs are currently in favor versus out of favor in the market — useful context for understanding where your own holdings stand relative to broader trends.

Top 10 Most Crowded Trades

See which ETFs/funds have become the most "crowded" — heavily bought into by the market all at once — which can be an early warning sign for sharper reversals ahead.

My Portfolio

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Upload a CSV with your holdings to see 1-month, YTD, and 1-year performance for holdings within our coverage.

Format: Date, Ticker, Weight (optional if Amount provided), Amount · Session only — not stored server-side
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Link a Brokerage Account

Connect a real US or Canadian brokerage account instead of uploading a file — Investelligence never sees your login credentials, and access is read-only (nothing can be bought, sold, or moved). Available on any active subscription plan.

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Research platform only. All data and analytics are for informational and educational purposes. Nothing constitutes investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Knowledge Center

Plain-English explanations of the concepts behind every number on this platform
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How to use this page
Every concept below is broken into three layers: the technical definition, what it actually means in plain English, and how it shows up in your own portfolio with a worked example. Click any concept to expand it — you don't need to read this front to back, just look up whatever you're curious about as you explore the rest of the platform.
Viewing market: United States
Intelligence Module · All Tiers

Market Intelligence

Updated Jul 1, 2026 · Monthly · quantitative model
Month
Market Rating
Risk-On
As of Jul 2026
Macro Rating
—
As of selected month
Regime Accuracy
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Market Regime
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Macro Regime
60/40 Overlay Cumulative Return
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60/40: —
Equity Weight
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Model equity allocation
Bond Weight
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Model fixed income allocation

S&P-500 ETF Monthly Returns by Rating

ⓘ Shows how the S&P 500 typically behaves in months tagged Risk-On vs. Risk-Off, compared to all months overall — useful for seeing whether the rating actually lines up with real market behavior historically.

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Based on VOO (S&P 500 ETF) monthly returns, grouped by whether the US Equity Rating was Risk-On or Risk-Off in that month.

Rating Interpretation

What Risk-On means

Signals are broadly positive right now — strong participation, calm price action, an upward trend. Conditions like this have historically favored stocks over caution.

How Investelligence uses this rating

This rating drives the Equity Weight / Bond Weight mix above — a dynamic 60/40-style allocation between equity (VTI) and bonds (BND). More equity when the rating is favorable, more bonds when it's not. These same regime-suggested weights are what the Dynamic 60/40 Strategy below actually holds each month — when this rating shifts, that strategy's real equity/bond mix shifts with it, rather than staying fixed like a traditional 60/40 portfolio. Research illustration only, not investment advice.

Dynamic 60/40 Strategy

Illustrates the TMRRO 60/40 overlay — a tactical position that adjusts according to the US Equity Rating — versus a static 60% VTI / 40% BND traditional benchmark held every month regardless of rating.
Calendar Year
ⓘ Dashed lines indicate backtest period. Solid lines indicate live model tracking.
60/40 Overlay vs Traditional 60/40 — Cumulative Return
60/40 Overlay Traditional 60/40

For research purposes only. Market ratings and sector outlooks are based on historical quantitative data and do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

Viewing market: United States
Intelligence Module · Strategist+

Portfolio Analytics

Cumulative performance and What-If / Regret Analysis for any ETF, fund, or research framework strategy

What-If / Regret Analysis

This tool helps you cut through regret. When markets drop, it's natural to want to panic-sell — and when they rally, it's natural to feel FOMO and jump back in. This simulation shows you exactly how selling on the way down and buying back on the way up would have actually played out for your investment, compared to simply holding it the whole time — so you can see the real cost (or benefit) of reacting versus staying put.
Portfolio / Investment
Rolling
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
Custom
From
To
Sell if drawdown reaches
Buy back after recovery of
Simulated Growth With Sell/Buy-Back Discipline
With Discipline (simulated) Buy & Hold (no discipline)
Buy & Hold
—
Ending value, no sell/buy-back
With Discipline
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Ending value, simulated

Hypothetical historical illustration. All performance and simulation results are based on model/historical returns data. They do not represent actual investor returns, are not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, and do not constitute investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Dollar Growth Calculator

See historical growth of an investment with recurring contributions and withdrawals applied to actual historical returns. Backward-looking only -- not a projection of future results.
Investment
Starting Amount
Contribution
Frequency
Withdrawal (per period)
Period (months of history, up to 120)
Viewing market: United States
Applies to Strategy Stress Analytics and the investment options shown in Investment Goal Planner. Plan Scenario Test's own calculations are not market-specific.
Portfolio Manager

Strategy Stress Analytics

Historical scenarios + regime-conditioned scenarios
Stress Test a Portfolio or Investment
Portfolio / Investment
Benchmark
Scenario
Historical stress illustration. Not a prediction of how any portfolio will behave in a future stress event, and not investment advice.

Regime Scenario

ⓘ Estimates how a portfolio might behave if market conditions shift into a more cautious, defensive, or risk-on environment, based on historical patterns during similar past shifts.
Investelligence assistant